Showing posts with label Rahm Emanuel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rahm Emanuel. Show all posts

Monday, December 1, 2008

Mafia Wisdom

On Thanksgiving, I finally checked off a big empty slot on my Man Card by watching the Godfather II. (I know... I know...)

One of the most famous lines from that film is particularly appropriate to today's political news, as Democrats debate the merits of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and wonder why she was tapped for the spot.

If you've seen the movie, you probably already know where I'm headed: Michael talks with Frankie Pentangeli about staying friendly with Hyman Roth, the man who tried to have him killed.

My father taught me many things here -- he taught me in this room... He taught me -- keep your friends close but your enemies closer.
Now, this isn't to suggest that there's malice between the President- elect and his future Secretary of State, I don't mean to apply the thought in that context.

I think there's a different kind of wisdom here, and there are many reasons why picking Hillary Clinton is ultimately an excellent decision.

There is the typical reasoning for the choice: President Obama will have to devote most of his time and energy to the economy, but he doesn't want to snub foreign leaders as he rebuilds our alliances and reputation. A visit from Secretary Clinton will be a great substitute for Air Force One, and she'll garner respect and media attention wherever she goes. Her celebrity will go a long way on the international scene.

However, I suspect that Hillary would have been picked even if the economy was in better shape.

The reason combines the Godfather's wisdom with the lessons of Dorris Kearns Goodwin's Team of Rivals, a book Obama cited as one of his favorites during the campaign. I read it a while back (it only took me an entire summer to get through). It details the way Abraham Lincoln filled his cabinet with the men who ran against him in a bitter battle for the Republican nomination.

These men (William Seward, Salmon Chase, et. al) viewed Lincoln as too green and backwoods to lead at such a calamitous time. But, as he'd done all his life, Lincoln eventually won them over and brought them into his fold.

This is shrewd for (at least) two reasons:

First, your opponent is often the most able person for the job. The president gets the heat and the credit, so he has the ultimate incentive to put the absolute best people around him. Putting personal greivances or even mistrust ahead of what would yield the best outcome is unwise, and would seem totally out of character for Obama.

The second is more politically practical. Obama's former rival now has a major stake in his administration. The more people tied to its outcome, the better the administration's chance for success. Think of a snowball rolling down a hill, the more people it picks up the more powerful it becomes.

Hillary and her husband are still a major force, so putting them on the team gets everyone in the party on the same page (they're a huge chunk of snow). And now, when there's a setback, the press can't run to Hillary's office for a dig on the president.

Christopher Hitchens and other out-spoken Hillary bashers complain that the choice undercuts Obama's message of change. In reality, it's just the opposite. It is difficult to remember a more precarious situation for a president- elect than to come to Washington as president after barely securing his own party's nomination, and look through the rolls of the town's top talent and see names clearly alligned with his opponent.

The old politics approach would purge DC of everything Clinton. Instead, the president- elect chooses to embrace his party's best (Rahm Emanuel, Ron Klain and Sen. Clinton, herself) because they are just that. It's a decision full of self- confidence and understanding of what it will take to reshape the country.

As Michael Corleone indicated, keeping your enemies close will allow you to eliminate them. But that doesn't necessitate a bullet, as Lincoln showed they may simply be eliminated as enemies through common interest and a shared destiny.

Friday, May 9, 2008

All Even

The New York Times, CBS and ABC are all reporting that Barack Obama has caught, and maybe even passed, Hillary Clinton in super-delegate support. These party officials had been Clinton's last refuge in her race for the Democratic nomination.

ABC actually has Obama with a one- delegate lead. Meanwhile, NBC News still puts Clinton on top, albeit by an ever shrinking margin- 273.5 to 267. I tend to trust NBC News, because I like Chuck Todd so much.

Whatever the case, it's only a matter of time now before Obama is his party's nominee for president.

Rahm Emanuel, the powerful Congressman from Illinois called Sen. Obama the "presumptive nominee." He leads in states won, votes cast and money raised, so this shift in super-delegates was really only a matter of time.

Monday, January 28, 2008

The Legacy of the George W. Bush presidency

The chairman of the House Democratic Caucus, Rahm Emanuel, debuted the following chart last week in anticipation of the President Bush's final State of the Union address tonight. It's pretty startling stuff...

THE LEGACY OF GEORGE W. BUSH’S PRESIDENCY

The Country He Inherited, The Country He Leaves Behind

THE ECONOMY

JANUARY 20, 2001

TODAY UNDER BUSH

REAL GDP GROWTH1

4.09% Over Prior 8 Years

2.65% Over Prior 7 Years

NATIONAL DEBT2

$5.7 Trillion

$9.2 Trillion

BUDGET DEFICIT/SURPLUS3

$431 Billion Surplus over the Previous Three Budget Years

$734 Billion Deficit over the

Previous Three Budget Years

NEW PRIVATE SECTOR

JOBS CREATED4

1.76 Million Jobs Per Year

Over Previous 8 Years

369,000 Jobs Per Year

Over Previous 7 Years

AMERICANS IN POVERTY 5

31.6 Million

36.5 Million

QUALITY OF LIFE

JANUARY 20, 2001

TODAY UNDER BUSH

AMERICANS UNINSURED &

CHANGE IN UNINSURED LEVEL6

38 Million Uninsured

4.5 Million Less in 2 Years

47 Million Uninsured

8.5 Million More in 6 Years

ANNUAL TOTAL PREMIUM COST7

$6,230 for Family Premium

$12,106 for Family Premium

MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME &

CHANGE IN MEDIAN INCOME8

$49,163

$6,000 Increase in 8 Years

$48,023

$1,100 Decrease in 6 Years

PRICE OF GAS9

$1.39/Gallon

$3.07/Gallon

COST OF COLLEGE10

$3,164 per year

$5,192 per year

PERSONAL SAVINGS RATE11

+2.3%

-0.5%

CONSUMER CREDIT DEBT12

$7.65 Trillion

$12.8 Trillion

UNITED STATES & THE WORLD

JANUARY 20, 2001

TODAY UNDER BUSH

U.S. TRADE DEFICIT13

$380 Billion

$759 Billion

STRENGTH OF U.S. DOLLAR14

1.07 Euros per Dollar

0.68 Euros Per Dollar

COMBAT READINESS15

All Active Duty Army Divisions Were Rated At The Highest Readiness Levels

Not A Single Active Duty Or Reserve Brigade In The U.S. Considered “Fully Combat Ready.”

FOREIGN OIL DEPENDENCY16

52.75% of U.S. Liquid Fuel Consumption is Imported

60.38% of U.S. Liquid Fuel Consumption is Imported

VIEW OF AMERICA ABROAD17

PEW POLL OF TEN NATIONS

58.3% Viewed

America Favorably

39.2% Viewed

America Favorably

GREAT BRITAIN’S VIEW OF U.S.

83% Favorable

56% Favorable

INDONESIA’S VIEW OF U.S.

75% Favorable

30% Favorable

TURKEY’S VIEW OF U.S.

52% Favorable

12% Favorable

GERMANY’S VIEW OF U.S.

78% Favorable

37% Favorable